Skip to main content

S&P warns of conflict impact as Israel’s ‘A’ rating holds

1 min Sandrine Zimra

S&P Global Ratings has reaffirmed Israel’s sovereign credit ratings at “A/A-1” for both long- and short-term foreign and local currency debt. However, the agency cautioned that an extended or escalating military conflict could weigh heavily on the country's economic resilience, fiscal health, and external balances.

The Bank of Israel projects slightly higher growth at 3.5%, and anticipates a drop in the budget deficit to 4.2% of GDP, down from 6.9% last year © Mena Todzay 

The Bank of Israel projects slightly higher growth at 3.5%, and anticipates a drop in the budget deficit to 4.2% of GDP, down from 6.9% last year © Mena Todzay 

S&P Global Ratings has reaffirmed Israel’s sovereign credit ratings at “A/A-1” for both long- and short-term foreign and local currency debt. However, the agency cautioned that an extended or escalating military conflict could weigh heavily on the country's economic resilience, fiscal health, and external balances.

Despite the uncertainty, S&P forecasts a moderate rebound in Israel's economy, with GDP growth projected at 3.3% in 2025. This recovery is expected to be driven by a resurgence in private consumption and capital investment. 

Potential risks from increased U.S. tariffs are expected to have a limited impact, as most Israeli exports to the United States are services — especially in information and communication technologies — which are typically not subject to trade duties.

The Bank of Israel projects slightly higher growth at 3.5%, and anticipates a drop in the budget deficit to 4.2% of GDP, down from 6.9% last year. 

This would ease pressure on public finances and support the country’s credit profile. Still, the central bank has warned that geopolitical tensions and volatility in global markets continue to pose significant risks, with Israel’s risk premium having widened noticeably.

Reflecting this caution, S&P maintained Israel’s outlook at “negative,” signaling that a downgrade remains possible if the security situation or economic metrics deteriorate further.

Sandrine Zimra

Sandrine Zimra

Sandrine Zimra has been a financial analyst for 25 years. Based in Geneva, she covers countries in the Middle East and travels regularly to the United Arab Emirates, Saudi Arabia, Qatar, Bahrain, Egypt, and Israel. She contributes to Mena Today with her financial reports and insights on the region.

Related

Israel

The 19 seats no one wants, but everyone needs

Outgoing Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu on Monday called for a broad coalition that excludes Israel’s Arab parties, claiming the right to lead it after his Likud party finished first in the election. The Arab parties, meanwhile, urged the opposition to “accept reality” and rely on their votes.

Israel

Herzog steps into the ring as Israel’s honest broker

In a country where politics has become a bare-knuckled brawl, Isaac Herzog, the mild-mannered president now tasked with persuading Israel's party leaders to lower their fists and form a government, is a throwback to a gentler era.

Oman

China rolls out red carpet for Oman’s sultan

The Middle East and Gulf region should not become a battleground for great-power rivalry and China is willing to work with Arab nations to achieve lasting peace, Chinese President Xi Jinping told Oman's sultan on Monday.

Subscribe to our newsletter

Mena banner 4

To make this website run properly and to improve your experience, we use cookies. For more detailed information, please check our Cookie Policy.

  • Necessary cookies enable core functionality. The website cannot function properly without these cookies, and can only be disabled by changing your browser preferences.