Iran
Iran’s familiar script: deny, deflect and defend
Tehran said on Tuesday it reserved the right to defend itself after US media reported American strikes the previous day on Qeshm Island in the Strait of Hormuz.
There is a war being fought against Iran that involves no missiles or soldiers — only algorithms, ledgers, and sanctions. Its commander is Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, and its battlefield is the global financial system.
Scott Bessent © Mena Today
There is a war being fought against Iran that involves no missiles or soldiers — only algorithms, ledgers, and sanctions. Its commander is Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, and its battlefield is the global financial system.
Since March 2025, when President Trump ordered "maximum pressure" on Tehran, Treasury has waged an escalating campaign, dubbed "Epic Fury" and "Economic Fury", culminating in a naval blockade of Iranian oil.
The blockade of the Strait of Hormuz alone has cost Iran roughly $4.8 billion in lost revenue, while repeated actions against its shadow banking networks have exposed corruption within the regime's own financial channels.
What sets this campaign apart is technological superiority. Bessent says Treasury has tracked Iranian bank accounts, crypto wallets, and assets worldwide — tracing funds the regime once believed untraceable. Tehran's elite are discovering they can no longer hide stolen money, even from each other.
The results show on Tehran's streets: the dollar trades near 1.87 million rials, inflation runs close to 50%, and a major bank collapse in late 2025 forced the central bank to print money, worsening the spiral. Bessent calls it a "ritual of economic self-immolation." When Iranians protested in January 2026, the regime answered with bullets, and Treasury answered by sanctioning the officials responsible by name.
Bessent promises further isolation is coming. The optimistic case: a regime unable to pay its guards or stabilize its currency is running out of time, as sanctions erode the loyalty holding it together.
The caveat: China remains a buyer of Iranian crude, regimes can rally nationalist sentiment, and the human cost falls on ordinary Iranians first.
The answer to how far this goes is simple, as far as our patience extends.
This is a strategy of accumulation, not sudden victory. The regime is not dead, but it is bleeding from a thousand cuts it cannot stop.
Tehran said on Tuesday it reserved the right to defend itself after US media reported American strikes the previous day on Qeshm Island in the Strait of Hormuz.
Iran and the United States are far from reaching a deal to end the war, a senior Iranian official told Reuters on Tuesday, despite heightened diplomatic efforts to prevent a potential return to active conflict after the US midterm elections.
Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi, in separate meetings with Iranian and Saudi national security officials in Beijing on Monday, said all parties in the Middle East conflict should focus on political solutions rather than resorting to arms again.
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